overconfidence

Stan didn't like thinking that way, for overconfidence could jinx an operation.

斯坦不喜欢这样思考, 因为过度的自信可能给一次行动带来厄运.

Overconfidence : Don't overestimate yourself or you may get hurt. Decide carefully.

自 负: 别太高估自己,不然你会受到伤害. 小心的做决定吧.

Behavior Finance: Overconfidence, Prospect Theory and Disposition Effect

过度自信展望理论与处置效应

From behavioral finance point, the overconfidence model and its variety discipline of money manager are derived.

从行为金融学角度，建立经纪人过度自信的动态模型并指出其变化规律。

An empirical study of individual investors ′ overconfidence in stock market

证券市场个人投资者过度自信实证研究

Based on the analysis of managerial overconfidence degree influence on accounting fraud mainly from the perspective of cognitive bias of behavior economics.

本文主要从行为经济学下的认知偏差角度分析管理者过度自信对于会计舞弊的影响程度。

Regardless of Chinese securities market in any state ( bull or bear market), the investors are over-confident. But compared to a bear market, the bull market overconfidence effect is more apparent.

但相对于熊市而言，牛市中过度自信效应更为明显。

Overconfidence and regret aversion are two basic concepts in behavioral finance.

摘要过度自信与后悔厌恶是投资者普遍存在的两种心理偏差.

From the perspective of managers' overconfidence, the paper uses tax shield kink to examine corporate debt policy according to the popular trend that corporate debt conservatism is common phenomenon.

针对目前研究认为公司债务政策趋于保守是普遍现象的观点，本文从管理者过度自信视角，利用税盾拐点考察公司债务政策。

This thesis uses experimental research to examine the level of individual investor trading volume and empirical research to the level of overconfidence on market.

本文综合运用实验研究和实证研究方法，通过实验研究检验投资者个人层面的过度自信对交易量的影响，通过实证研究检验市场层面的过度自信对交易量的影响。

This paper studies the "disposition effect" by using generalized prospect model, which includes investor's psychology overconfidence.

建立了过度自信心理的展望价值模型，并以此模型为基础，研究了行为偏差现象处置效应的形成机理和原因。

We empirically studied several cognitive and behavioral biases of Chinese security investment fund managers, such as overconfidence, disposition effect and anchoring effect.

以行为金融学理论为基础，以21只非指数型封闭式基金为样本，对其经理是否存在几个主要的认知与行为偏差，即过度自信、处置效应及锚定效应进行了实证检验。

We made an empirical research on the overconfidence effects on M A payment-method and M A performances.

对我国上市公司管理者过度自信对并购支付方式和并购绩效的影响进行了实证研究。

This paper tries to broaden the scope of managers, including the board of directors and all senior managers, and study the influence of management group overconfidence on corporate investment.

鉴于此，本文尝试拓宽管理者的范围，将管理者界定为包括董事会和所有高管人员在内的管理者群体，研究其过度自信对公司投资的影响。

Then added cash flow indicators, managers overconfidence in internal investment decisions on financing activities generated cash flow can be more sensitive than the cash flow generated from operating activities.

在加入现金流指标后，管理者过度自信与内部扩张对筹资活动产生的现金流比经营活动产生的现金流要敏感。

The overconfidence of economists might even be thought a manifestation of animal spirits.

经济学家的过度自信,甚至可以被视为“动物精神”的表征.

Overconfidence was his destruction.

自负是他垮台的原因.

Results show that the existence of risk for rational arbitragers and the investors'psychology overconfidence could limit the rational arbitrageur's behavior.

模型的分析结果表明，投资者的过度自信会限制套利者的套利行为。

When overconfidence of money manager is not observable, if the financial institution think that the probability of money manager being overconfident is very large, the principal-agent contract offered by the financial institution could be only accepted by overconfident money manager;

当经纪人的过度自信水平不可观测到时，如果金融机构认为经纪人过度自信的可能性很大，那么金融机构提供的最优委托-代理合同只能被过度自信经纪人接受；

Even if you ∝ re putting on a performance to demonstrate your ability, overconfidence is as bad, if not worse, as being too reserved.

即使是要展示自身能力，过度自信也要不得，它与过度拘谨一样不好，甚至更糟糕。

In the second chapter, we will mainly describe Adam Smith's relevant theory of modern behavioral economics in The Theory of Moral Sentiments, including" loss aversion", "overconfidence" etc.

第二章：主要论述亚当·斯密在《道德情操论》中，涉及到的诸如损失厌恶等与现代行为经济学相关的理论。

My self-confidence ranges from great self-doubt to overconfidence.

我的 自我 感觉在过分自卑和过分自信之间变化.

They also need to be weary of overconfidence after two easy games against sub par teams at home.

它们还要注意在主场轻松2连胜后不要过于自负。

Avoid overconfidence —— it could be your greatest enemy.

不要过分自信——它会成为你最大的仇敌.

Optimism based on a realization is never overconfidence.

基于这种认识上的乐观根本就不是自负.

Oddly enough, you see-saw between overconfidence and self-doubt.

奇怪的是, 你会在过度自信及 自我 怀疑中摇摆.

This paper tries to learn from and push forward the emerging behavioral financial research, and study managerial overconfidence of Chinese listed companies as well as its effect on investment-cash flow sensitivity and investment efficiency.

为此，本文尝试借鉴和发展新兴的行为金融研究成果，研究我国上市公司管理者过度自信心理对企业投资-现金流敏感度以及投资效率的影响，以期为非效率投资治理提供依据。

Decision Behavior and Cognitive Bias& A Review of Research on the Manager Overconfidence

决策行为与认知偏差&管理者过度自信研究述评

A theory of the "disposition effect" based on overconfidence, biased self-attribution and the "maximum prospect value" rules of choice is proposed.

研究结论表明：投资者的过度自信心理和展望价值最大化选择准则可以有效解释行为偏差现象“处置效应”的产生机理。

Furthermore, according to the analysis about individual stocks, this paper also indicates that there is not only overconfidence effect but also disposition effect in CSM, and the former effect is more significant than the latter one.

并且，关于个股的研究表明我国证券市场不仅存在过度自信效应，也存在处置效应，而且过度自信效应比处置效应更为显著。